Combat Edge Intelligence

Dedrek Sanders vs Tiequan Zhang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record15-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
Tiequan ZhangNow 1511
If they win+23→ 1534
If they lose-25→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.14
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.35

Trajectory

Dedrek SandersTiequan Zhang
145015001550160020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
2 (22%)
Submission
11 (73%)
3 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders53%
Tiequan Zhang 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 53% favorite over Tiequan Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tiequan Zhang's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1511), separated by just 12 points.

Tiequan Zhang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dedrek Sanders finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tiequan Zhang 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.