Combat Edge Intelligence

Dedrek Sanders vs Tom Aaron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"ReachUnknown
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamFinney's MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dedrek SandersNow 1499
If they win+25→ 1524
If they lose-23→ 1476
Tom AaronNow 1511
If they win+23→ 1534
If they lose-25→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dedrek SandersTom Aaron
1450150015502009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
2 (22%)
Submission
3 (60%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders56%
Tom Aaron 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 56% favorite over Tom Aaron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Aaron's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1511), separated by just 12 points.

Dedrek Sanders finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tom Aaron 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.