Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Goltsov vs Stipe Miocic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Denis Goltsov
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Denis Goltsov

“The Russian Bogatyr”

35-8-0HeavyweightPFL

1765Great

Tale of the tape

35-8-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78.00"Reach 80"
248 lbsWeight234 lbs
Sambo PiterTeamStrong Style Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis GoltsovNow 1765
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-12→ 1753
Stipe MiocicNow 1765
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1802 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.74
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Denis GoltsovStipe Miocic
1750180020242025

Win method breakdown

18 (51%)
KO/TKO
15 (75%)
11 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (17%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Denis Goltsov70%
Stipe Miocic 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Denis Goltsov a 70% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1765 vs 1765), separated by just 0 points.

Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denis Goltsov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.

Stipe Miocic carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.