Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Tiuliulin vs Eric Spicely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Spicely
us

Eric Spicely

“Zebrinha”

13-9-0MiddleweightCES

1537Average

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record13-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach73,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve GymTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Eric SpicelyNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
38%
Strike defense
56%
0.96
Takedown avg.
1.31
43%
Takedown accuracy
20%
72%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Denis TiuliulinEric Spicely
15501600202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (54%)
1 (10%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denis Tiuliulin and Eric Spicely within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1537), separated by just 0 points.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Eric Spicely 85%.

Denis Tiuliulin carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.