Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Tiuliulin vs Jordan Dowdy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve GymTeamThe Hit Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Jordan DowdyNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
0.96
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Denis TiuliulinJordan Dowdy
150015501600201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Dowdy52%
Denis Tiuliulin 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Dowdy a 52% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1538), separated by just 1 points.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Dowdy 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.