Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Tiuliulin vs Lee Murray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lee Murray

Lee Murray

“Lightning”

8-2-1MiddleweightCR

1529Average

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record8-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve GymTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Lee MurrayNow 1529
If they win+25→ 1554
If they lose-23→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
0
41%
Strike accuracy
0%
5.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
31.43
38%
Strike defense
33%
0.96
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
17.14

Trajectory

Denis TiuliulinLee Murray
155016002003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (50%)
1 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denis Tiuliulin and Lee Murray within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1529), separated by just 8 points.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lee Murray enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Lee Murray 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.