Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Kielholtz vs Vanessa Demopoulos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record11-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'2"
66"Reach 59"
124 lbsWeight115 lbs
Sports Academy SchreiberTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denise KielholtzNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Vanessa DemopoulosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.36
TBD
Takedown accuracy
12%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Denise KielholtzVanessa Demopoulos
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
3 (33%)
Submission
4 (36%)
4 (44%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Kielholtz59%
Vanessa Demopoulos 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Kielholtz a 59% favorite over Vanessa Demopoulos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vanessa Demopoulos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1577), separated by just 5 points.

Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Vanessa Demopoulos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Denise Kielholtz finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vanessa Demopoulos 45%.

Denise Kielholtz carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.