Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Buzukja vs Paul Capaldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Capaldo
us

Paul Capaldo

“Paulie C”

7-1-0FeatherweightCFFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record7-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Longo and Weidman MMATeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis BuzukjaNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Paul CapaldoNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
0
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0.62
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.21
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dennis BuzukjaPaul Capaldo
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (50%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dennis Buzukja and Paul Capaldo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1616), separated by just 0 points.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dennis Buzukja finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Paul Capaldo 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.