Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Siver vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-11-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
KibojuTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis SiverNow 1668
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-12→ 1656
Mads BurnellNow 1667
If they win+12→ 1679
If they lose-12→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
32%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
65%
Strike defense
51%
0.87
Takedown avg.
3.45
33%
Takedown accuracy
47%
65%
Takedown defense
22%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Dennis SiverMads Burnell
1650170020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
7 (30%)
Submission
9 (47%)
9 (39%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell55%
Dennis Siver 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 55% favorite over Dennis Siver in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dennis Siver's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Dennis Siver finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Dennis Siver carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.