Combat Edge Intelligence

Dequan Townsend vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79,0"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Sedriques DumasNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
2
35%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
39%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
32%
47%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Dequan TownsendSedriques Dumas
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (19%)
Submission
2 (20%)
7 (27%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas63%
Dequan Townsend 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 63% favorite over Dequan Townsend in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dequan Townsend's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dequan Townsend finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.