Derrick Lewis vs Soa Palelei
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Main Street Boxing & Muay ThaiTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
If they win+12→ 1748
If they lose-12→ 1724
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1717 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisSoa Palelei
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derrick Lewis66%
Soa Palelei 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Derrick Lewis a 66% favorite over Soa Palelei in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1736), separated by just 8 points.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.