Combat Edge Intelligence

Derrick Mehmen vs Paul Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-10-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
237 lbsWeight246 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTFT MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derrick MehmenNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Paul ElliottNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Derrick MehmenPaul Elliott
1500155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (100%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (32%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Elliott71%
Derrick Mehmen 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 71% favorite over Derrick Mehmen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1607), separated by just 7 points.

Derrick Mehmen enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Derrick Mehmen finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.