Combat Edge Intelligence

Devonte Smith vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
76"Reach39,5"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Factory XTeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Devonte SmithNow 1672
If they win+16→ 1688
If they lose-16→ 1656
Marcin HeldNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
53%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
50%
Strike defense
47%
0.35
Takedown avg.
2.46
25%
Takedown accuracy
47%
86%
Takedown defense
38%
0.35
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Devonte SmithMarcin Held
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (91%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
1 (9%)
Submission
15 (52%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Devonte Smith60%
Marcin Held 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Devonte Smith a 60% favorite over Marcin Held in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1672), separated by just 0 points.

Devonte Smith enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Devonte Smith finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.