Combat Edge Intelligence

Dhiego Lima vs Josh Quinlan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
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Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dhiego LimaNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Josh QuinlanNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
39%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
58%
Strike defense
54%
1.26
Takedown avg.
0.34
35%
Takedown accuracy
11%
74%
Takedown defense
71%
0.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dhiego LimaJosh Quinlan
155016001650201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
4 (27%)
Submission
2 (33%)
7 (47%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dhiego Lima61%
Josh Quinlan 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dhiego Lima a 61% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1546), separated by just 7 points.

Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dhiego Lima finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.