Dhiego Lima vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-9-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Tim Means is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dhiego Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1573
If they lose-12→ 1541
If they win+9→ 1655
If they lose-15→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dhiego LimaTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dhiego Lima57%
Tim Means 43%Elo baseline: 37%
The Combat Edge model makes Dhiego Lima a 57% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Means's way (37%).
Tim Means holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1553, a 93-point edge.
Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dhiego Lima finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Dhiego Lima and Tim Means share 1 common opponent: Court McGee.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.