Diego Brandao vs Joshua Weems
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
38,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBlack Sails MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego BrandaoJoshua Weems
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Weems62%
Diego Brandao 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 62% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1601), separated by just 3 points.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.
Diego Brandao and Joshua Weems share 1 common opponent: Kai Kamaka III.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.