Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Brandao vs Sterling Ford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-0Record15-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
38,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNW Elite Tacoma MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego BrandaoNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
Sterling FordNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
3.21
Takedown avg.
TBD
68%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
81%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diego BrandaoSterling Ford
15501600165020122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

16 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
6 (21%)
Submission
6 (40%)
7 (24%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diego Brandao and Sterling Ford within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.

Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Sterling Ford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sterling Ford 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.