Diego Brandao vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
38,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diego BrandaoTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Brown52%
Diego Brandao 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Brown a 52% favorite over Diego Brandao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Brandao's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1601), separated by just 3 points.
Diego Brandao enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Diego Brandao finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
Diego Brandao and TJ Brown share 1 common opponent: Kai Kamaka III.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.