Combat Edge Intelligence

Diego Nunes vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Diego Nunes
br

Diego Nunes

“The Gun”

24-10-0LightweightCFS

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record11-4-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diego NunesNow 1639
If they win+12→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1627
Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
58%
Strike defense
60%
1.18
Takedown avg.
0
45%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
66%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Diego NunesJosh Culibao
165020232024

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
10 (42%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (29%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Culibao59%
Diego Nunes 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 59% favorite over Diego Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Diego Nunes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diego Nunes finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.