Combat Edge Intelligence

Dileno Lopes vs Shane Mullen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65.00Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova Uniao ManausTeamFight Academy Ireland

What's at stake

Shane Mullen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Dileno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dileno LopesNow 1469
If they win+26→ 1495
If they lose-22→ 1447
Shane MullenNow 1500
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dileno LopesShane Mullen
145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
15 (71%)
Submission
1 (100%)
2 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Mullen62%
Dileno Lopes 38%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 62% favorite over Dileno Lopes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Shane Mullen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1469, a 31-point edge.

Dileno Lopes finishes 90% of wins inside the distance.

Shane Mullen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.