Combat Edge Intelligence

Dillon Danis vs Kevin Casey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record9-6-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
72"Reach77,0"
175 lbsWeight185 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dillon DanisNow 1576
If they win+24→ 1600
If they lose-24→ 1552
Kevin CaseyNow 1579
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.76
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.79
TBD
Takedown accuracy
22%
TBD
Takedown defense
27%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Dillon DanisKevin Casey
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
2 (100%)
Submission
3 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dillon Danis63%
Kevin Casey 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dillon Danis a 63% favorite over Kevin Casey in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Casey's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.

Dillon Danis enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kevin Casey 67%.

Kevin Casey carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.