Combat Edge Intelligence

Dinis Paiva vs Trevin Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dinis Paiva
us

Dinis Paiva

“Sweetbread”

13-9-0BantamweightCES

1558Solid

Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record14-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Keith Allen MMATeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dinis PaivaNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Trevin JonesNow 1554
If they win+16→ 1570
If they lose-16→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
41%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.29
67%
Strike defense
40%
0
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
82%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Dinis PaivaTrevin Jones
15501600201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
2 (15%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (31%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dinis Paiva and Trevin Jones within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1554), separated by just 4 points.

Dinis Paiva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dinis Paiva finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.