Diyar Nurgozhay vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record14-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayKhalil Rountree Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay60%
Khalil Rountree Jr. 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 60% favorite over Khalil Rountree Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Khalil Rountree Jr.'s way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Khalil Rountree Jr. 64%.
Khalil Rountree Jr. carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.