Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Nicolae Negumereanu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record13-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamKorona Sports Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Nicolae NegumereanuNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.56
61%
Strike defense
39%
2.54
Takedown avg.
1.02
100%
Takedown accuracy
29%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayNicolae Negumereanu
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
2 (18%)
Submission
3 (23%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Diyar Nurgozhay59%
Nicolae Negumereanu 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 59% favorite over Nicolae Negumereanu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Negumereanu 85%.

Nicolae Negumereanu carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.