Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record13-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
50%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
61%
Strike defense
47%
2.54
Takedown avg.
1.38
100%
Takedown accuracy
35%
100%
Takedown defense
94%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhayRodolfo Bellato
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
2 (18%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (27%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Diyar Nurgozhay and Rodolfo Bellato within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1678), separated by just 5 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Rodolfo Bellato carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.