Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Sanae Kikuta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record31-9-3
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Sanae KikutaNow 1687
If they win+12→ 1699
If they lose-12→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
2.54
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhaySanae Kikuta
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
2 (18%)
Submission
16 (52%)
3 (27%)
Decision
10 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Diyar Nurgozhay70%
Sanae Kikuta 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 70% favorite over Sanae Kikuta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sanae Kikuta's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1687), separated by just 4 points.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sanae Kikuta 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.