Diyar Nurgozhay vs Shamil Gamzatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamRussian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Diyar NurgozhayShamil Gamzatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diyar Nurgozhay66%
Shamil Gamzatov 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 66% favorite over Shamil Gamzatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Gamzatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1686), separated by just 3 points.
Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.
Shamil Gamzatov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.