Combat Edge Intelligence

Diyar Nurgozhay vs Steve Bosse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Steve Bosse
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Steve Bosse

“The Boss”

12-2-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1686Good

Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
74"Reach72,0"
205 lbsWeight202 lbs
Tobet Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Diyar NurgozhayNow 1683
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Steve BosseNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
5.99
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.38
61%
Strike defense
51%
2.54
Takedown avg.
0.92
100%
Takedown accuracy
33%
100%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Diyar NurgozhaySteve Bosse
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Diyar Nurgozhay66%
Steve Bosse 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Diyar Nurgozhay a 66% favorite over Steve Bosse in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steve Bosse's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1686), separated by just 3 points.

Steve Bosse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Diyar Nurgozhay finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Steve Bosse 83%.

Diyar Nurgozhay carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.