Combat Edge Intelligence

Djulia Ariana vs Peggy Morgan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Peggy Morgan
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Peggy Morgan

“The Daywalker”

4-4-0FeatherweightIFC

1493Average

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record4-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Udi Lima TeamTeamTriumph MMA

What's at stake

Djulia Ariana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Peggy Morgan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Djulia ArianaNow 1543
If they win+21→ 1564
If they lose-27→ 1516
Peggy MorganNow 1493
If they win+27→ 1520
If they lose-21→ 1472

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
23%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.20
TBD
Strike defense
34%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Djulia ArianaPeggy Morgan
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (60%)
Decision
4 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Djulia Ariana78%
Peggy Morgan 22%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Djulia Ariana a 78% favorite over Peggy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Djulia Ariana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1543 to 1493, a 50-point edge.

Djulia Ariana finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Peggy Morgan 0%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.