Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitrii Ceacusta vs Richardson Moreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record8-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dmitrii CeacustaNow 1525
If they win+23→ 1548
If they lose-25→ 1500
Richardson MoreiraNow 1517
If they win+16→ 1533
If they lose-16→ 1501

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.17
TBD
Strike accuracy
29%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dmitrii CeacustaRichardson Moreira
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Dmitrii Ceacusta70%
Richardson Moreira 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Dmitrii Ceacusta a 70% favorite over Richardson Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1525 vs 1517), separated by just 8 points.

Richardson Moreira 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.