Combat Edge Intelligence

Dmitrii Smoliakov vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record14-6-1
TBDDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'0"
44.00Reach-
TBDWeight240 lbs
TBDTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Dmitrii Smoliakov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dmitrii SmoliakovNow 1455
If they win+28→ 1483
If they lose-20→ 1435
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+20→ 1529
If they lose-28→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.44
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dmitrii SmoliakovSascha Weinpolter
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter88%
Dmitrii Smoliakov 12%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 88% favorite over Dmitrii Smoliakov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1455, a 54-point edge.

Dmitrii Smoliakov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.