Dominic Brown vs Regan Upshaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-23-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Ju-Jitsu AcademyTeamHavoc MMA
What's at stake
Regan Upshaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Dominic Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1435
If they lose-10→ 1411
If they win+20→ 1498
If they lose-28→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominic BrownRegan Upshaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Regan Upshaw78%
Dominic Brown 22%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Regan Upshaw a 78% favorite over Dominic Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Regan Upshaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1421, a 57-point edge.
Dominic Brown finishes 94% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.