Dominic Clark vs Will Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-13-0Record3-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
159 lbsWeight161 lbs
PKGTeamDerby City MMA
What's at stake
Will Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Dominic Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1510
If they lose-11→ 1486
If they win+22→ 1545
If they lose-26→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominic ClarkWill Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Davis70%
Dominic Clark 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Davis a 70% favorite over Dominic Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Will Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1523 to 1497, a 26-point edge.
Dominic Clark enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dominic Clark finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Will Davis 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.