Dominick Cruz vs Patchy Mix
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record20-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamWNY MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
If they win+16→ 1801
If they lose-16→ 1769
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick CruzPatchy Mix
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patchy Mix56%
Dominick Cruz 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patchy Mix a 56% favorite over Dominick Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominick Cruz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1785), separated by just 3 points.
Patchy Mix enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dominick Cruz finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Patchy Mix 75%.
Patchy Mix carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.