Dominick Reyes vs Muslim Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record16-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Teixeira MMA & FitnessTeamAcademy MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1766
If they lose-15→ 1734
If they win+15→ 1777
If they lose-17→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dominick ReyesMuslim Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Magomedov60%
Dominick Reyes 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Magomedov a 60% favorite over Dominick Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1762), separated by just 13 points.
Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Dominick Reyes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Magomedov 56%.
Dominick Reyes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.