Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Carlo-Clauss vs Josh Quinlan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josh Quinlan
us

Josh Quinlan

“The Renegade”

6-4-0WelterweightUFC

1546Average

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don Carlo-ClaussNow 1547
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
Josh QuinlanNow 1546
If they win+16→ 1562
If they lose-16→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.34
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Don Carlo-ClaussJosh Quinlan
150015501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
6 (67%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Don Carlo-Clauss60%
Josh Quinlan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Don Carlo-Clauss a 60% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Don Carlo-Clauss finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.