Combat Edge Intelligence

Don Madge vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Madge
za

Don Madge

“Magic Man”

11-5-1WelterweightPFL

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

11-5-1Record10-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72,5"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
FightFit MilitiaTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Don MadgeNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
53%
Strike accuracy
29%
0.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.64
67%
Strike defense
54%
2.22
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
80%
Takedown defense
45%
0.74
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Don MadgeMaheshate Hayisaer
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
5 (45%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (9%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer66%
Don Madge 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 66% favorite over Don Madge in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Madge's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1618), separated by just 0 points.

Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Don Madge finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.