Don Shainis vs Mark Hominick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don ShainisMark Hominick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Shainis63%
Mark Hominick 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Shainis a 63% favorite over Mark Hominick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.
Mark Hominick enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hominick 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.