Don Shainis vs Ramiro Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record20-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamTSG Combat Sports
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1583
If they lose-12→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don ShainisRamiro Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Don Shainis59%
Ramiro Hernandez 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Don Shainis a 59% favorite over Ramiro Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.
Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ramiro Hernandez 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.