Don Shainis vs Thomas Paull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Citadel Martial Arts & FitnessTeamTeam Underground MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Don ShainisThomas Paull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Paull60%
Don Shainis 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Paull a 60% favorite over Don Shainis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Don Shainis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1570), separated by just 2 points.
Don Shainis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.