Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.50Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
59%
Strike defense
59%
2.93
Takedown avg.
0.58
44%
Takedown accuracy
39%
72%
Takedown defense
81%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaMichael Johnson
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
6 (38%)
Submission
2 (8%)
4 (25%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson60%
Dong Hyun Ma 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 60% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dong Hyun Ma's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Michael Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.