Dorian Price vs Ebrahem Mahmoud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach75''
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamDiesel Fighting Academy
What's at stake
Dorian Price is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ebrahem Mahmoud carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1509
If they lose-25→ 1461
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud69%
Dorian Price 31%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 69% favorite over Dorian Price in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dorian Price's way (48%).
Dorian Price holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1486 to 1471, a 15-point edge.
Dorian Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Dorian Price finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.