Doug Marshall vs Vlasto Čepo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Elite TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Doug MarshallVlasto Čepo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vlasto Čepo63%
Doug Marshall 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vlasto Čepo a 63% favorite over Doug Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1659), separated by just 2 points.
Doug Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vlasto Čepo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Doug Marshall finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.