Douglas Lima vs Reinier de Ridder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-12-0Record21-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
74"Reach 78"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamCombat Brothers
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1759
If they lose-12→ 1735
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1752 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas LimaReinier de Ridder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Reinier de Ridder70%
Douglas Lima 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Reinier de Ridder a 70% favorite over Douglas Lima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Douglas Lima's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1746), separated by just 1 points.
Reinier de Ridder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Douglas Lima finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.
Reinier de Ridder carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.