Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Hiroyuki Takaya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hiroyuki Takaya
jp

Hiroyuki Takaya

“Streetfight Bancho”

23-15-2FeatherweightShooto

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record23-15-2
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight143 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamTakaya Gundan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Hiroyuki TakayaNow 1617
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
38%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
31.85
58%
Strike defense
61%
0.55
Takedown avg.
1.82
43%
Takedown accuracy
100%
73%
Takedown defense
66%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeHiroyuki Takaya
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (24%)
Decision
8 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade66%
Hiroyuki Takaya 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 66% favorite over Hiroyuki Takaya in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hiroyuki Takaya's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1617), separated by just 2 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Hiroyuki Takaya 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.