Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Jesse Stirn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jesse Stirn
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Jesse Stirn

“Relentless”

16-6-0FeatherweightPFL

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight146 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamGround Control Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Jesse StirnNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.55
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeJesse Stirn
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
2 (7%)
Submission
6 (38%)
7 (24%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade51%
Jesse Stirn 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 51% favorite over Jesse Stirn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesse Stirn enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Stirn 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.