Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Junior Assuncao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record16-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamAscension MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Junior AssuncaoNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
38%
Strike accuracy
63%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.06
58%
Strike defense
44%
0.55
Takedown avg.
2.43
43%
Takedown accuracy
24%
73%
Takedown defense
67%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeJunior Assuncao
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
2 (7%)
Submission
7 (44%)
7 (24%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade70%
Junior Assuncao 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 70% favorite over Junior Assuncao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1624), separated by just 3 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Junior Assuncao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Junior Assuncao 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.