Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Keweny Lopes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record12-5-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Keweny LopesNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.55
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeKeweny Lopes
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
2 (7%)
Submission
1 (8%)
7 (24%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Douglas Silva de Andrade and Keweny Lopes within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keweny Lopes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Keweny Lopes 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.