Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Paul Capaldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Capaldo
us

Paul Capaldo

“Paulie C”

7-1-0FeatherweightCFFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record7-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Paul CapaldoNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
0
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.55
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradePaul Capaldo
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (24%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Capaldo63%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Capaldo a 63% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Paul Capaldo 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.