Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Yoshinori Horie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record13-5-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight156 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamAlliance-Square

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Yoshinori HorieNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
38%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.65
58%
Strike defense
48%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
0%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeYoshinori Horie
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (24%)
Decision
7 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Silva de Andrade55%
Yoshinori Horie 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 55% favorite over Yoshinori Horie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Yoshinori Horie 46%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.